A view shows a M142 High Mobility Artillery Rocket System (HIMARS) is being fired in an undisclosed location, in Ukraine in this still image obtained from an undated social media video uploaded on June 24, 2022 via Pavlo Narozhnyy/via REUTERS THIS IMAGE HAS BEEN SUPPLIED BY A THIRD PARTY. MANDATORY CREDIT. NO RESALES. NO ARCHIVES. REUTERS WAS NOT ABLE TO VERIFY THE LOCATION OR DATE THE VIDEO WAS FILMED. THE VIDEO SHOWS THE FIRING OF WHAT PURPORTS TO BE A HIGH MOBILITY ARTILLERY ROCKET SYSTEM (HIMARS). THE SHAPE OF THE WEAPON MATCHES FILE IMAGES OF THE ROCKET SYSTEM.

Perhaps one of the most important developments of the past few days has been the numerous attacks on Russian supply depots far behind the front lines. About a handful are caught on video, and more are being talked about on social media.

Why this is significant: If the Ukrainians manage to permanently disrupt the supply routes of the Russian troops, it would very quickly take the power out of the Russian offensive. In the medium term, Russian ammunition stocks will also be reduced in this way. Not only camps are affected by the attacks, but also the supply routes themselves.

But it is not only about the Russian offensive, but also about Ukrainian counterattacks. Especially in southern Ukraine, the Ukrainians are being slowed down by new troops and new material coming from Russia via the Crimea to the front around Cherson. If these supplies dried up because rail lines were disrupted, that would allow Kiev’s troops to advance more quickly.

Why all the attacks now? The US-supplied Himars rocket launchers, which hit meter-precise far behind the Russian lines, have a share in this. That was not possible for the Ukrainians until now. The success of Kiev’s strategy could be seen in the next few days, should the intensity of the Russian artillery fire subside. We’ll keep you posted here.

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