Day 100 of the Russian invasion. As our map above shows, Russia is still far from capturing the entire Donbass. For the small remnants of the Luhansk region alone, which are still under Ukrainian control, the Russian troops could need another two weeks. This was reported today by the British secret service. According to reports from London, Moscow is currently able to record some “tactical” successes. However, the associated losses are immense.
Two developments that we are keeping an eye on during the Pentecost days: There are currently initial reports that the Ukrainian troops in the heavily contested city of Sievjerodonetsk have increased their presence and have partially pushed back the Russian army. Ukrainian media also reported in the evening that Putin fired his commander for Ukraine, Alexander Dvornikov. That would come as a surprise in view of the recent successes – be they small.