Are the Russian troops showing signs of wear and tear in the combat zone? According to intelligence services and experts, it seems so.
British military intelligence reported today that Russia was running out of ground-based missiles. Therefore, anti-aircraft missiles would be increasingly used. However, these could miss targets on the ground – because they are intended for shooting down aircraft and missiles.
Canadian military intelligence, on the other hand, reports that the troops “probably no longer have the military capabilities” to pursue their ambitions in Ukraine due to losses in equipment and personnel. They are now forced to scale down their strategic goals.
Experts from the Military-Thinktank Institute for the Study of War also note that Russian troops in the areas around Siversk and Bakhmut in the Donetsk region did not achieve any major territorial gains after the operational pause. There are only a few limited and very localized ground attacks.
The pace is not significantly different from that during the officially declared break. In any case, the ISW estimates that the Russian offensive will reach its peak without being able to capture Bakhmut or Sloviansk.
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