In the latest “RTL/ntv” trend barometer, the Union is losing support and only one traffic light party is making gains. In addition, Olaf Scholz is just ahead of Friedrich Merz in the question of chancellor.
According to the current “RTL/ntv” trend barometer, the Union lost two percentage points in terms of party preferences compared to the previous week and fell back to 30 percent. The Greens (13 percent) are down by one percentage point. The FDP (6 percent), the BSW (6 percent) and the other parties (14 percent) each gain one percentage point. The values for the SPD (16 percent) and the AfD (15 percent) do not change.
When it comes to Chancellor preference, respondents in the “RTL/ntv” trend barometer were offered a three-way constellation (Scholz vs. Merz and Habeck as well as Scholz vs. Merz and Baerbock) to choose from for a long time. Since in the coming federal election there will most likely be another “Chancellor duel” between the incumbent Chancellor and the candidate of the leading opposition party, the respondents are now asked to indicate who they would support in a hypothetical direct election of the Federal Chancellor would decide such a “duel”.
If they had the choice between Olaf Scholz and Friedrich Merz, slightly more eligible voters would currently choose Scholz (33 percent) than Merz (31 percent). Scholz would be ahead of Merz (28 and 32 percent, respectively) in both the east (30 percent) and the west (34 percent) of the country.
Slightly more men would choose Merz (34 percent) than Scholz (30 percent), and more women would choose Scholz (35 percent) than Merz (28 percent). At 78 percent, the support for Scholz among SPD supporters is greater than the support for Merz among Union supporters (68 percent).