Where in Europe will come a new ice age in the XXI century

Another 06/01/20 Where in Europe will come a new ice age in the XXI century

Today, a significant portion of climate scientists said about global warming, and fight it trying UN, the International energy Agency and thousands of organizations to protect the environment. The emphasis is on antropogenno warming that is caused by human activities. Meanwhile, there is another view, has called climate skepticism: many scientists doubt man’s culpability in warming and moreover, in its permanent character.

the fact that throughout the history of our planet, the temperature on it has changed dramatically (there were only 4 world of the ice age). A less significant temperature fluctuations occur constantly, several times within a single Millennium. In the XIV-XIX centuries the Earth experienced a little ice age, when the average temperature was by 1-2 degrees less than the current. Climate skeptics believe that the current warming is due to the continuation of the exit of the planet from the little ice age, and therefore is a natural and inevitable process, and people have nothing to do with.

moreover, some scientists put forward hypotheses about a new cold in the XXI century, this time due to the downturn in solar activity, slight by the standards of stars, but can dramatically change the earth’s climate. For example, an employee of the Pulkovo astronomical Observatory astrophysicist Khabibullo Abdusamatov believes that mankind should not prepare for the warming to global cooling. Having studied the dynamics of the variations of the 11-year and secular oscillations of solar activity, Abdusamatov came to the conclusion that the severe cold in Europe and North America in the second half of the XVII century was connected with the activity of the sun. Now the flow of radiated energy star peaked and soon will come the phase of a reduction of this flow, which after some time will definitely result in cold, degree and a half. For the planet it is very much (during the big ice ages the average temperature was only 10-12 degrees less present, and this was enough for the icing to almost all continents). According to the calculations Abdusamatova, new cold occur in the middle and second half of the XXI century, and only at the beginning of the XXII century, we can expect warming.

in addition to the astronomer of the Pulkovo Observatory, a similar hypothesis was presented by the American solar physics Technological Institute of new Jersey and the researchers of the British University of Northumbria, also linking the increase in temperature in the twentieth century with fluctuations in solar activity, which soon subsides. About the possibility of global cooling already in our century, say, and K. G. Levi (doctor of geological-mineralogical Sciences, Institute of earth crust SB RAS), V. I. Voronin (doctor of biological Sciences) and other researchers.
This forecast now looks quite likely, as in the last decade and a half warming has almost stopped and the predicted flooding of cities does not occur, despite the continuation of the work of factories and plants with their carbon dioxide emissions. If he is correct, humanity will face serious consequences.

Northern Europe will freeze, and agricultural zones agriculture shifted to the South. Will inevitably face the problem of food security and changes in the animal world will begin the migration of people from North to South during the little ice age of the Middle ages and New time. Freeze a significant portion of Finland, Sweden and Norway, Greenland and Iceland, and southern Canada. Expand the permafrost zone of Northern Russia. On the European rivers, virtually no freezing in the 2000-ies (Thames, Seine, spree) the ice will stand for several months of the year. Already in 2012 on the Seine for the first time in the water for a short time earned the ice flow, in Rome it was snowing and freezing of the Venetian canals. The same kasalsa and of the Moscow river and Neva river – the icing will last longer than usual. Lake Peipsi, as in the days of Alexander Nevsky, will be covered with ice in April.

the Governments of all countries of Eurasia and America, as well as South Africa, should be prepared for such a scenario, harvest resources and plans of adaptation of economy to new conditions. If global cooling will come suddenly, it can be fraught with economic and humanitarian catastrophes, the output of which will have to look for decades. Scientists today, it is worthwhile to consider the arguments of climate skeptics and find the answer to the question: when will come the little ice age?

Konstantin Dmitriev

© Russian Seven

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